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영란은행 기준금리 동결-20181220

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기준금리 0.75%

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 19 December 2018, the MPC voted unanimously to maintain Bank Rate at 0.75%.

The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £10 billion. The Committee also voted unanimously to maintain the stock of UK government bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £435 billion.

Since the MPC’s previous meeting, the near-term outlook for global growth has softened and downside risks to growth have increased. Global financial conditions have tightened noticeably, particularly in corporate credit markets. Oil prices have fallen significantly, however, which should provide some support to demand in advanced economies. The decline in oil prices also means that UK CPI inflation is likely to fall below 2% in coming months. The Committee judges that the loosening of fiscal policy in Budget 2018, announced after the November Inflation Report projections were finalised, will boost UK GDP by the end of the MPC’s forecast period by around 0.3%, all else equal.  

Brexit uncertainties have intensified considerably since the Committee’s last meeting. These uncertainties are weighing on UK financial markets. UK bank funding costs and non-financial high-yield corporate bond spreads have risen sharply and by more than in other advanced economies. UK-focused equity prices have fallen materially. Sterling has depreciated further, and its volatility has risen substantially. Market-based indicators of inflation expectations in the United Kingdom have risen, including at longer horizons.  

The further intensification of Brexit uncertainties, coupled with the slowing global economy, has also weighed on the near-term outlook for UK growth. Business investment has fallen for each of the past three quarters and is likely to remain weak in the near term. The housing market has remained subdued. Indicators of household consumption have generally been more resilient, although retail spending may be slowing.  

The MPC has previously noted that shifting expectations about Brexit among financial markets, businesses and households could lead to greater-than-usual short-term volatility in UK data. Judging the appropriate stance of monetary policy requires separating these shorter-term developments from other more persistent factors affecting inflation and from the dynamics of the economy once greater clarity emerges about the nature of EU withdrawal.

Domestic inflationary pressures have continued to build. The labour market remains tight, with employment growth picking up in the latest data and the unemployment rate likely to stay around 4% in the near term.  Annual growth in regular pay has risen to 3¼%, stronger than anticipated in the November Report. In contrast, services CPI inflation has been subdued. The inflation expectations of households and professional forecasters have remained broadly unchanged.  

The Committee judged in November that, were the economy to develop broadly in line with its Inflation Report projections, which were conditioned on a smooth adjustment to the average of a range of possible outcomes for the UK’s eventual trading relationship with the European Union, a margin of excess demand was expected to emerge. In that context, an ongoing tightening of monetary policy over the forecast period, at a gradual pace and to a limited extent, would be appropriate to return inflation sustainably to the 2% target at a conventional horizon. 

The broader economic outlook will continue to depend significantly on the nature of EU withdrawal, in particular: the form of new trading arrangements between the European Union and the United Kingdom; whether the transition to them is abrupt or smooth; and how households, businesses and financial markets respond. The appropriate path of monetary policy will depend on the balance of the effects on demand, supply and the exchange rate. The monetary policy response to Brexit, whatever form it takes, will not be automatic and could be in either direction. The MPC judges at this month’s meeting that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate. The Committee will always act to achieve the 2% inflation target.

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    FOHUNTERS™ 2018.12.20 23:42

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List of Articles
No. 기준금리 Category Subject Views
Notice 미국 2019년 미국FOMC회의일정 공지 file 778
Notice 한국 2019년 한은 금통위 기준금리 회의일정 (2005년~2019년) file 3028
Notice 한국 한국은행 기준금리 변동추이 (1999~2019) 2807
Notice 헌터스로직2019 무료업데이트 안내(20190612) file 33
Notice 신호계단선(핑크점선,흰색점선) 활용과 해석 89
Notice 헌터스로직 기간무제한 버전 판매안내 546
Notice 비대면 계좌개설 정리 (해선 국선 예스트레이더 사용가능업체 정리) 2144
Notice FOHUNTERS 전용앱 업그레이드안내(2019-3월19일. 4.0버젼) 7 5076
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228 1.25% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 인하-20190604 1 25
227 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190531 27
226 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190529 1 26
225 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190507 2 46
224 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190502 1 36
223 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190501 3 48
222 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190425 2 44
221 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190424 1 26
220 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190418 22
219 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190410 1 42
218 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190402 2 43
217 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190321 1 33
216 -0.75% / -1.25%~-0.25% 스위스 스위스 중앙은행 기준금리 동결-20190321 1 34
215 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190320 2 58
214 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190307 1 53
213 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190306 1 39
212 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190305 1 34
211 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190205 89
210 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190130 1 123
209 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190124 1 125
208 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190124 1 85
207 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190123 1 93
206 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190109 1 113
205 -0.25% 스웨덴 스웨덴은행 기준금리 인상-20181220 1 129
» 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20181220 1 85
203 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 인상 - 20181219 1 131
202 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20181213 1 118
201 -0.75% / -1.25%~-0.25% 스위스 스위스 중앙은행 기준금리 동결-20181213 80
200 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20181205 1 102
199 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20181204 1 71
198 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 인상-20181130 1 111
197 2.00% ~ 2.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20181108 2 167
196 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20181106 1 126
195 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20181101 1 131
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