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주요국기준금리

|  주요국 중앙은행 금리발표 관련 자료실입니다

캐나다

BOC 기준금리동결-20190109

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기준금리 1.75%

The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 ¾ per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1 ½ per cent.

The global economic expansion continues to moderate, with growth forecast to slow to 3.4 per cent in 2019 from 3.7 per cent in 2018. In particular, growth in the United States remains solid but is expected to slow to a more sustainable pace through 2019. However, there are increasing signs that the US-China trade conflict is weighing on global demand and commodity prices.

Global benchmark prices for oil have been about 25 per cent lower than assumed in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The lower prices primarily reflect sustained increases in US oil supply and, more recently, increased worries about global demand. These worries among market participants have also been reflected in bond and equity markets.  

The drop in global oil prices has a material impact on the Canadian outlook, resulting in lower terms of trade and national income. As well, transportation constraints and rising production have combined to push up oil inventories in the west and exert even more downward pressure on Canadian benchmark prices. While price differentials have narrowed in recent weeks following announced mandatory production cuts in Alberta, investment in Canada’s oil sector is projected to weaken further.

These developments are occurring in the context of a Canadian economy that has been performing well overall. Growth has been running close to potential, employment growth has been strong and unemployment is at a 40-year low. Looking ahead, exports and non-energy investment are projected to grow solidly, supported by foreign demand, the CUSMA, the lower Canadian dollar, and federal tax measures targeted at investment.

Meanwhile, consumption spending and housing investment have been weaker than expected as housing markets adjust to municipal and provincial measures, changes to mortgage guidelines, and higher interest rates. Household spending will be dampened further by slow growth in oil-producing provinces. The Bank will continue to monitor these adjustments.

The Bank projects real GDP will grow by 1.7 per cent in 2019, 0.4 percentage points slower than the October outlook. This revised forecast reflects a temporary slowing in the fourth quarter of 2018 and the first quarter of 2019. This will open up a modest amount of excess capacity, primarily in oil-producing regions. Nevertheless, indicators of demand should start to show renewed momentum in early 2019, leading to above-potential growth of 2.1 per cent in 2020.

Core inflation measures remain clustered close to 2 per cent. As expected, CPI inflation eased to 1.7% in November, due to lower gasoline prices. CPI inflation is projected to edge further down and be below 2 per cent through much of 2019, owing mainly to lower gasoline prices. On the other hand, the lower level of the Canadian dollar will exert some upward pressure on inflation. As these transitory effects unwind and excess capacity is absorbed, inflation will return to around the 2 per cent target by late 2019.

Weighing all of these factors, Governing Council continues to judge that the policy interest rate will need to rise over time into a neutral range to achieve the inflation target. The appropriate pace of rate increases will depend on how the outlook evolves, with a particular focus on developments in oil markets, the Canadian housing market, and global trade policy.


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    FOHUNTERS™ 2019.01.10 00:01

    [원문링크] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2019/01/fad-press-release-2019-01-09/



List of Articles
No. 기준금리 Category Subject Views
Notice 미국 2019년 미국FOMC회의일정 공지 file 984
Notice 한국 2020년 한은 금통위 기준금리 회의일정 (2005년~2020년) file 3439
Notice 한국 한국은행 기준금리 변동추이 (1999~2019) 3146
206 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190306 1 54
205 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190305 1 47
204 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190205 103
203 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190130 1 132
202 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190124 1 138
201 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190124 1 98
200 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190123 1 116
» 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190109 1 129
198 -0.25% 스웨덴 스웨덴은행 기준금리 인상-20181220 1 149
197 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20181220 1 107
196 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 인상 - 20181219 1 139
195 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20181213 1 124
194 -0.75% / -1.25%~-0.25% 스위스 스위스 중앙은행 기준금리 동결-20181213 97
193 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20181205 1 118
192 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20181204 1 83
191 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 인상-20181130 1 125
190 2.00% ~ 2.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20181108 2 177
189 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20181106 1 141
188 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20181101 1 143
187 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20181031 1 122
186 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리인상-20181024 1 154
185 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20181002 1 184
184 2.00% ~ 2.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 인상-20180926 1 296
183 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20180919 1 199
182 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20180913 1 202
181 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20180913 1 191
180 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20180904 1 175
179 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 인상-20180802 1 231
178 1.75% ~ 2.00% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20180801 1 216
177 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20180731 169
176 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20180726 1 252
175 1.50% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20180712 1 231
174 1.50% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리인상-20180711 1 171
173 -0.50% 스웨덴 스웨덴은행 기준금리 동결-20180703 1 166
172 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20180703 1 184


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