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BOC 기준금리 동결-20210120

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Bank of Canada will hold current level of policy rate until inflation objective is achieved, continues quantitative easing

 

The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent. The Bank is maintaining its extraordinary forward guidance, reinforced and supplemented by its quantitative easing (QE) program, which continues at its current pace of at least $4 billion per week.

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to take a severe human and economic toll in Canada and around the world. The earlier-than anticipated arrival of effective vaccines will save lives and livelihoods, and has reduced uncertainty from extreme levels. Nevertheless, uncertainty is still elevated, and the outlook remains highly conditional on the path of the virus and the timeline for the effective rollout of vaccines. 

The economic recovery has been interrupted in many countries as new waves of COVID-19 infections force governments to re-impose containment measures. However, the arrival of effective vaccines combined with further fiscal and monetary policy support have boosted the medium-term outlook for growth. In its January Monetary Policy Report (MPR), the Bank projects global growth to average just over 5 percent per year in 2021 and 2022, before slowing to just under 4 percent in 2023. Global financial markets and commodity prices have reacted positively to improving economic prospects. A broad-based decline in the US exchange rate combined with stronger commodity prices have led to a further appreciation of the Canadian dollar.

Canada’s economy had strong momentum through to late 2020, but the resurgence of cases and the reintroduction of lockdown measures are a serious setback. Growth in the first quarter of 2021 is now expected to be negative. Assuming restrictions are lifted later in the first quarter, the Bank expects a strong second-quarter rebound. Consumption is forecast to gain strength as parts of the economy reopen and confidence improves, and exports and business investment will be buoyed by rising foreign demand. Beyond the near term, the outlook for Canada is now stronger and more secure than in the October projection, thanks to earlier-than-expected availability of vaccines and significant ongoing policy stimulus. After a decline in real GDP of 5 ½ percent in 2020, the Bank projects the economy will grow by 4 percent in 2021, almost 5 percent in 2022, and around 2 ½ percent in 2023.

CPI inflation has risen to the low end of the Bank’s 1-3 percent target range in recent months, while measures of core inflation are still below 2 percent. CPI inflation is forecast to rise temporarily to around 2 percent in the first half of the year, as the base-year effects of price declines at the pandemic’s outset — mostly gasoline — dissipate. Excess supply is expected to weigh on inflation throughout the projection period. As it is absorbed, inflation is expected to return sustainably to the 2 percent target in 2023.

In view of the weakness of near-term growth and the protracted nature of the recovery, the Canadian economy will continue to require extraordinary monetary policy support. The Governing Council will hold the policy interest rate at the effective lower bound until economic slack is absorbed so that the 2 percent inflation target is sustainably achieved. In our projection, this does not happen until into 2023. To reinforce this commitment and keep interest rates low across the yield curve, the Bank will continue its QE program until the recovery is well underway.  As the Governing Council gains confidence in the strength of the recovery, the pace of net purchases of Government of Canada bonds will be adjusted as required. We remain committed to providing the appropriate degree of monetary policy stimulus to support the recovery and achieve the inflation objective.


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    FOHUNTERS™ 2021.01.21 00:01

    원문링크 : https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2021/01/fad-press-release-2021-01-20/



List of Articles
No. 기준금리 Category Subject Views
Notice 미국 2021년 미국FOMC회의일정 공지 file 1068
Notice 한국 2021년 한은 금통위 기준금리 회의일정 (2005년~2021년) file 3553
Notice 한국 한국은행 기준금리 변동추이 (1999~2020) file 3205
309 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20210127 2 34
308 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20210121 1 25
» 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20210120 1 29
306 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, 기준금리 동결-20201218 1 44
305 0.10% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20201217 1 43
304 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20201216 1 64
303 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20201210 1 67
302 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20201209 1 47
301 0.10% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20201201 1 46
300 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20201105 1 56
299 0.10% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20201105 1 30
298 0.10% 호주 RBA 기준금리인하-20201103 1 36
297 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20201029 1 35
296 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20201028 1 39
295 0.25% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20201006 1 40
294 0.10% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20200917 1 36
293 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20200917 1 24
292 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20200916 2 46
291 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20200910 2 39
290 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20200909 1 36
289 0.25% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20200901 1 39
288 0.10% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20200806 1 33
287 0.25% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20200804 1 file 37
286 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20200729 1 48
285 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20200716 1 36
284 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20200715 1 file 44
283 -0.10% 일본 일본은행, -0.10%로 기준금리 동결-20200715 file 36
282 0.25% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20200707 1 file 30
281 0.10% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20200618 file 41
280 0.00%~0.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결-20200611 2 54
279 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20200604 1 46
278 0.25% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리 동결-20200603 1 37
277 0.25% 호주 RBA 기준금리동결-20200602 1 file 37
276 0.50% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 인하 -20200528 30
275 0.1% 영국 영란은행 기준금리동결-20200507 2 file 44


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