You cannot see this page without javascript.


|  주요국 중앙은행 금리발표 관련 자료실입니다


영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190801

Extra Form
기준금리 0.75%

Monetary Policy Summary and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting


Published on 01 August 2019

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 31 July 2019, the MPC voted unanimously to maintain Bank Rate at 0.75%.

The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £10 billion. The Committee also voted unanimously to maintain the stock of UK government bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £435 billion.

Since May, global trade tensions have intensified and global activity has remained soft. This has led to a substantial decline in advanced economies’ forward interest rates and a material loosening in financial conditions, including in the United Kingdom. An increase in the perceived likelihood of a no-deal Brexit has further lowered UK interest rates and led to a marked depreciation of the sterling exchange rate.

Brexit-related developments, such as stockbuilding ahead of previous deadlines, are making UK data volatile. After growing by 0.5% in 2019 Q1, GDP is expected to have been flat in Q2, slightly weaker than anticipated in May. Looking through recent volatility, underlying growth appears to have slowed since 2018 to a rate below potential, reflecting both the impact of intensifying Brexit-related uncertainties on business investment and weaker global growth on net trade.  Evidence from companies, up to the middle of July, suggests that uncertainty over the United Kingdom’s future trading relationship with the European Union has become more entrenched. The labour market remains tight. Annual pay growth has been relatively strong.  Consumer spending has remained resilient. CPI inflation was 2.0% in June and core CPI inflation was 1.8%.  

The Committee’s updated projections are set out in the accompanying August Inflation Report. They continue to assume a smooth adjustment to the average of a range of possible outcomes for the United Kingdom’s eventual trading relationship with the European Union. In the central projection, conditioned on prevailing asset prices, underlying output growth is subdued in the near term, reflecting more entrenched Brexit uncertainties. This means that a margin of excess supply persists over the first year of the projection. Thereafter, GDP is projected to accelerate to robust growth rates, reflecting a gradual recovery in global growth and firming UK domestic demand growth, driven in large part by a recovery in investment growth as uncertainties dissipate in line with the Brexit conditioning assumption. The acceleration in GDP results in a significant build-up of excess demand, to around 1¾% of potential GDP by the end of the forecast period. After falling in the near term, CPI inflation is projected to rise above the 2% target, as building excess demand leads to firmer domestic inflationary pressures. Conditioned on prevailing asset prices, CPI inflation reaches 2.4% by the end of the three-year forecast period.  

These projections are affected by an inconsistency between the smooth Brexit conditioning assumption underpinning the forecast and the prevailing market asset prices on which the forecasts are also conditioned. These asset prices reflect market participants’ perceptions of the likelihood and consequences of a no-deal Brexit.  If, as assumed, Brexit proceeds smoothly to some form of deal, market interest rates would likely rise and the sterling exchange rate would likely appreciate. A more consistent forecast would therefore have somewhat lower paths for GDP growth and CPI inflation.  

Increased uncertainty about the nature of EU withdrawal means that the economy could follow a wide range of paths over coming years. The appropriate path of monetary policy will depend on the balance of the effects of Brexit on demand, supply and the exchange rate. The monetary policy response to Brexit, whatever form it takes, will not be automatic and could be in either direction. In all circumstances, the Committee will set monetary policy appropriately to achieve the 2% inflation target.  

The MPC judges at this meeting that the existing stance of monetary policy is appropriate.

Assuming a smooth Brexit and some recovery in global growth, a significant margin of excess demand is likely to build in the medium term. Were that to occur, the Committee judges that increases in interest rates, at a gradual pace and to a limited extent, would be appropriate to return inflation sustainably to the 2% target. 

# 해외선물 #정교하고 #정확한 #추세매매 #차트분석로직  #HuntersLogic2019 (99만원/6개월)

#선물옵션 #똘똘한 #트레이더의 선택 # 집중력있는 # 선택과 집중 #헌터스로직2019


List of Articles
No. 기준금리 Category Subject Views
Notice 미국 2019년 미국FOMC회의일정 공지 file 876
Notice 한국 2019년 한은 금통위 기준금리 회의일정 (2005년~2019년) file 3185
Notice 한국 한국은행 기준금리 변동추이 (1999~2019) 2903
233 1.00% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190806 2 56
» 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190801 1 36
231 2.00% ~ 2.25% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 인하 - 20190731 2 73
230 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190730 1 73
229 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190725 1 50
228 1.50% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 인하-20190718 1 52
227 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190710 1 47
226 1.00% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 인하-20190702 2 39
225 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190620 1 47
224 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190620 1 41
223 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190619 2 65
222 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190606 2 74
221 1.25% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 인하-20190604 1 41
220 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190531 36
219 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190529 1 35
218 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190507 2 61
217 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190502 1 49
216 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190501 3 59
215 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190425 2 61
214 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190424 1 39
213 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190418 24
212 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190410 1 49
211 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190402 2 52
210 0.75% 영국 영란은행 기준금리 동결-20190321 1 49
209 -0.75% / -1.25%~-0.25% 스위스 스위스 중앙은행 기준금리 동결-20190321 1 45
208 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190320 2 67
207 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190307 1 63
206 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190306 1 49
205 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190305 1 43
204 1.50% 호주 RBA, 기준금리 동결-20190205 100
203 2.25% ~ 2.50% 미국 미 연준 기준금리 동결 - 20190130 1 128
202 0.00% 유로존 ECB통화정책회의 기준금리동결-20190124 1 138
201 1.75% 한국 한국은행 기준금리 동결-20190124 1 91
200 -0.1% 일본 일본은행, -0.1%로 기준금리 동결-20190123 1 113
199 1.75% 캐나다 BOC 기준금리동결-20190109 1 121
Board Pagination Prev 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 7 Next
/ 7
Translate Comment Language Selection 
Requesting to the server, please wait.